
Weekly Analysis List
GBP/USD Weekly Analysis
6/9/24

Market Overview
1. Economic Data Releases:
• United Kingdom: Recent data from the UK has shown mixed results. The latest employment figures indicated a slight decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.1%, with a significant increase in job numbers1. However, wage growth has slowed, which could impact consumer spending and overall economic growth.
• United States: In the U.S., the focus is on the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The market expects a slight decrease in headline inflation, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy decisions.
2. Central Bank Policies:
• Bank of England (BoE): The BoE remains cautious, balancing between supporting economic growth and controlling inflation. Any hints of future rate hikes or changes in monetary policy will be closely monitored by the markets.
• Federal Reserve: The Fed’s recent statements have reinforced their commitment to combating inflation, suggesting that interest rates will remain elevated. This hawkish stance is likely to support the USD against the GBP.
3. Geopolitical Factors:
• Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in Eastern Europe, continue to create uncertainty in the markets. This uncertainty often leads to increased demand for safe-haven assets like the USD, putting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair.
4. Market Sentiment:
• Investor sentiment remains cautious due to the mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainties. This cautious sentiment is reflected in the recent price movements of the GBP/USD, which have shown increased volatility.
Support Levels
1.2800: This psychological level has provided strong support in recent trading sessions.
1.2750: Another significant support level, which has been tested multiple times.
1.2600: A crucial support level that, if broken, could lead to further downside.
Resistance Levels
1.2900: A key resistance level that has been challenging for the GBP/USD to break above.
1.3050: This level has acted as a strong resistance in the past and could do so again.
1.3100: A major resistance level that, if breached, could signal a bullish trend.
These levels are based on recent price action and technical analysis. Keep in mind that market conditions can change rapidly, so it’s essential to stay updated with the latest market news and analysis.
Conclusion
Overall, the GBP/USD is likely to remain under pressure due to the stronger economic outlook in the U.S. and the Fed’s hawkish stance. However, any unexpected economic data or geopolitical developments could lead to significant fluctuations in the pair.